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WK3 Fantasy Football NFC Safety Start/Sits
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Week 3 / NFC Safeties
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Advice/Note: We’re giving each of them a bump this week versus the Falcons on paper. Both should be solid enough and Jackson has upside we haven’t factored in because he has a history of spotty consistency. Gipson need to live up to this weeks mark or we’ll never get to any upside.
Advice/Note: Unfortunately, the Lions have found a way to ruin a great IDP play in Tracy Walker despite his flashes as an NFL talent. To best explain it we’ll send you to this article HERE, to avoid writing an entire article on it. To this IDP author, it’s what the coaches are quoted as saying that’s throwing the mud on the situation. These quotes are verifiable as we first located them in each coach press conference first. But instead of posting links to three different video clips, this article did a fine job of picking out the relevant. As of now, no Lions safety gets the benefit of the doubt and that’s how the on paper works out this week versus the Cardinals.
If you’re a Walker owner you’re not going to recoup what you’ve invested to get him right now. So for now it’s likely best to sit and wait and hope that something breaks, and Walker starts to see the field from the first to last down and every snap of the game.
Advice/Note: Neither of these two starting safeties is getting it done on the field for IDP owners after two weeks. Because of this it hampers there steps in the formula and really hurts their on-paper outlook for this week versus the Saints. They’ll have to break the mold this contest or we’re looking at paperweights and just by-week players (maybe), heading into that stretch soon.
Advice/Note: At least after week two we have some clarity in the depth department at the safety position. One has to wonder how true it is, but we have something to list for now. The Vikings started and rolled with five defensive backs last contest with all of them getting at least 80% of the snaps. Harris and Smith are the anchors of this core, but it can come with a price. With so many in the secondary, it can mean less IDP meat on the bone in terms of opportunities at times. And that was likely the case last contest with so many active defensive backs. As for this contest versus the Titans, we went with what the formula gave on paper and nothing more. And on paper, if we were to give either player an upside look versus the Titans, it would lean towards Harris.
Damontae Kazee (?)
Ricardo Allen (O)
Advice/Note: Likely due to injury history, Neal and Allen had already fallen off the map a bit. And now Allen has been ruled out for week three. Here are our snap count averages thru the fist two weeks. Kazee with 97%, Neal with 80%, and Allen with 30% after getting hurt week two. And to top it off, Kazee is questionable, but at the time of this publication, he reportedly sounds like he’ll play. With all that said, looks like we have neal and Kazee to work with and both have just got what’s been marked for them basically. In other words, this week versus the Bears marks have no upside until we see it.
Advice/Note: After two weeks it is pretty clear that all upside runs thru Chinn, as an ILB or DB in our leagues. And that’s even with all three starters getting 98% plus of the snaps available so far. We’ve added Chinn’s upside in the designated marks for week three versus the Chargers.
Advice/Note: Just another example in week two of the fantasy football gods giveth and taketh away. Gardner was giveth to in week one, and then taketh from and giveth to Jenkins and Williams in week two. His snaps went from 90% in one to 70% in two, with 10 combined and then down to just one assisted tackle. And even worse is heading into week three via the on paper formula, this shows as a “just” solid matchup for the unit versus the Packers.
This contest is prime time Sunday night with two great reams going at it. We’ll give them their credit and mark them as they’ve earned it over the history of applying the formula to each player. And ask IDP owners to keep a cautiously open mind about the matchup. Because we’ll personally be avoiding this if we have other solid options with less uncertainty involved.
Antoine Winfield Jr.
Advice/Note: This tandem has really stood out thru the first two weeks of play. And it’s even more impressive when we consider that they have two great ILBs who are also producing in from of them. We’re riding the hot hands in the on-paper results and adding that IDP owners do the same versus the Broncos this week.
Xavier Woods (?)
Daryl Worly – “CB”
Advice/Notes: Unannounced to the world, apparently the Cowboys have decided that week one’s starting strong safety Thompson wasn’t cutting it. And in week two decided to sub him out with cornerback Worly for 33% of the total 85% dedicated to the position snap counts. This is even more confusing to this IDP author when they didn’t give under-rated Wilson a shot instead.
But either way, our only trustworthy target is Woods in week three versus the Seahawks. And pending the Seahawks game plan could decide if Woods carries some upside to his designated “on paper” mark. And hopefully, something gives this contest and we find out who’ll be the starting strong safety at a full-time position going forward in the process.
Logan Ryan – CB?
Xavier McKinney (IR)
Advice/Note: First, Peppers hasn’t impressed thru two weeks when the opportunity on paper clearly has been there. And especially when instead of having two full-time ILBs in front of him they have one and a partial. Second, as our members know I wrote up Love in a dime drop and in week one that didn’t come out solid. But hopefully his week two bounce back starts a trend for anyone who may have him on their roster. And three, the rumor is that Logan Ryan may be moved to cornerback instead of the third safety. We can’t locate any report by the organization confirming this but in theory, it makes sense.
Fourth, if Ryan does go to cornerback, this writer’s Love for Love gets just a little stronger because this means they are down in talent in the secondary, opening up more opportunities to clean up missed tackles. We’ll wait this out and just mark everyone as the on-paper results indicate versus the 49ers this week, including Peppers who technically should bounce back and have a strong game this week. And stating, if this writer owned him, I’d try my best to not have to play him, just in case.
Advice/Note: With stability comes little to talk about. We’ll roll as marked via the formula versus the Bengals this week.
Advice/Note: Another one looking stable, go as marked versus the Browns.
Jalen Thompson (IR)
Advice/Note: As assumed, Banjo was the guy sticking at the SS spot with Thompson hitting I.R. before week two. It’s too bad for Simmons owners that our brainfart idea of getting him on the field didn’t come true. As it is, we’ll roll with what we know and on paper versus the Lions this week. And as far as Baker not getting his as normal, we’ll also assume that no one can always be perfect and he’ll bounce back enough to matter this contest. Also, on paper, this matchup isn’t nearly as solid as we’d like to see, so just in case we will stick to the on-paper results to the ” T “.
John Johnson III
Advice/Note: Johnson bounced back after a down week one. Fuller still kept Rapp on the sideline except for third safety shares. We’ll go with the flow and the on paper results.
Advice/Note: As expected, can’t trust Tartt to be constant enough at a higher level and got what could have been expected. We will mention, both only played 80% of the snaps, likely something to do with the injuries that happen and them pulling some starters at some point. We’ll keep rolling with what’s marked via the five-step formula versus the Giants this week. And noting that these are “just” solid, but there is upside here we won’t add due to all those injuries and the potential game flow because of them. And losing Nick Bosa, well that helps the secondary in theory with less pass rushing available. “Helps” in terms of opportunities for the opposing QB to get the ball into the secondary, that is.
Marquise Blair (IR)
Advice/Note: What a mess in week two. Diggs booted for targeting and Blair lands on I.R. But as it sits, we’ll roll again here with what the on-paper has for us versus Dallas.
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