Projected 2023 Workload
Nick Chubb offers a combination of volume and efficiency which has made him a highly valuable player over the last few seasons. For 2023 it seems he’ll have the Browns backfield to himself. With no Kareem Hunt and no other major threats to his snaps or opportunity Chubb is poised for a big year. It’s important to note that his value is somewhat dependent on the overall performance of the Browns’ offense. If Deshaun Watson and the passing game can keep defenses honest then Chubb will run wild.
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Percentage of Carries
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Percentage of Targets
Fantasy Point Mix
Career Arc
Stability is the best word to describe Nick Chubb and his fantasy productivity. While he seldom has the touchdown upside of some other players like Christian McCaffrey he does turn his touches into yardage. With the loss of Kareem Hunt and D’Ernest Johnson, only Jerome Ford will come into spell Chubb. That should be translated to a greater chance to pile up short yardage touchdowns and a few more targets. 2023 is lining up to be a great year for Chubb.
Career Workload Score
Nick Chubb is still an elite option but he is closer to the end than the beginning of his career. 2023 could be one of his best yet. The Browns have plenty of other weapons to help spread teams out allowing for better rush lanes. He’s a top 3 option for 2023 but he is one more high volume season from being a player that fantasy managers should be trying to move off of their roster. If you’re not competing for a title in 2023 Chubb becomes a high value trade chip as he should net you multiple picks and/or high upside players.
We explain Career Workload Score here.
Injury History
(Year – Injury – Games Missed)
2020 – Knee – 4
2021 – Calf – 2
Handcuff(s)
Jerome Ford – RB54
Demetric Felton – RB(NR)
John Kelly – RB(NR)
How to Deploy
In the short term (2023) Nick Chubb is an elite RB1. Beyond 2023 it gets a little murky though. His volume and general reliability are what make him great, but it’s impossible avoid the eventual drop off. In dynasty formats, he should only be on your roster IF you’re competing this year. If you’re not competing then it’s important to start gauging interest from teams that think they’re competing in 2023. It might be best to hold him through about weeks 5-6 – he has some tough matchups to start the year but that Colts game profiles as a plus matchup for him and a title hopeful manager may be more inclined to over pay at that point than any time prior.
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