Injury Risk Score

A pre-computed assessment of a player's likelihood of missing games based on historical injury patterns and workload data.

Category: General · Status: Active

What it measures

Injury Risk Score evaluates a player's durability profile using historical injury report data, games missed, injury types, and positional wear patterns. It provides a forward-looking risk assessment.

Inputs

• Historical injury reports: Practice participation status and game designations across prior seasons.
• Games missed per season: Total regular-season absences over the player's career.
• Injury type classification: Severity and recurrence patterns for specific injury types (soft tissue, structural, concussion).
• Positional injury base rates: Expected injury frequency by position used to calibrate risk above or below baseline.

Scale

• 0 – 25: Low risk - clean medical history with durable track record.
• 26 – 50: Moderate risk - some injury history but nothing chronic.
• 51 – 75: Elevated risk - recurring injuries or position with high baseline injury rate.
• 76 – 100: High risk - significant missed time expected based on historical patterns.

How to use it

• Check Injury Risk before drafting a player with elite talent but a concerning injury history.
• Use alongside Availability Rating for a complete health picture.
• High Injury Risk players should be paired with handcuffs or backup plans in roster construction.

Limitations

• Cannot predict freak injuries or first-time occurrences with no historical precedent.
• Does not account for surgical improvements or rehabilitation quality differences.
• Younger players with limited history may have artificially low scores due to insufficient data.