IDP Free Agency Gauge: Signed B.J. Goodson

IDP Free Agency Gauge: Signed B.J. Goodson
March 30, 2020 1 Comment Article Gary Van Dyke

Welcome to the IDP free agency gauge, where we’ll use an assortment of available information to gauge a player’s potential fantasy football outlook. And signed or unsigned, we’ll accumulate what we’ve learned in the process to gauge how to proceed from an IDP point of view with each player. So sit back and enjoy as the NFL ramps up their free agency period, and we break down those scenarios along the way.

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Media Resources

2019 Overall PFF Grade: 60.9

Contract Details

2016 PFF Run Grade

75.8

Snap Count 13 / 1%

51.1

PFF COVerage Grade

2017 PFF Run Grade

72.2

Snap Count 374 / 34%

42.6

PFF COVerage Grade

2018 PFF Run Grade

67.8

Snap Count 513 / 47%

59.3

PFF Coverage Grade

2019 PFF Run Grade

59.4

Snap Count 254 / 24%

57.7

PFF Coverage Grade

Transaction History

Drafted: Giants 2016 – 4th round – 109th overall

Traded: To The Packers – Swapped 2020 7th Round Picks

Signed: By Browns – 2020 One-year contract  with a base salary of $1,000,000, a signing bonus of $1,250,000 and a roster bonus of $140,625, while carrying a cap hit of $2,390,625 and a dead cap value of $2,250,000.

IDP Free Agency

Coverage Flaws

The “crack” on Goodson across the board is he can’t read and react in coverage. And by the PFF grades above, that holds true overall. Noting that the more he plays, as we can see by the snap counts I added, there isn’t any real improvement. As well, he hasn’t ever been a full-time player, maxing out at 47% of the snaps available in 2018.

Reviewing his game films, we found that not only did he struggle when straight out covering a receiver, but it held true on the read and react aspect. And we can see this in a couple of 2019 examples I found on YouTube. And I would like to thank whoever posted the films. I am not a GIF video making type of guy (yet), so thank you for allowing this to be shared.

He does see the potential crossing receiver in the backfield. But yet as a fourth-year inside linebacker with over a thousand snaps as a starter, he doesn’t advance towards the treat. Instead, he back peddles down the field taking himself out of the play while looking directly at the receiver.

He does check back with the deep defensive back to make sure the shifted receiver is seen. But a fourth-year linebacker should have committed more to the line/receiver and at more of an effort in disrupting the “known” threat in George Kittle. Perhaps even sticking with him over bumping a little and releasing him down the field to find the hole in the zone. Despite the underneath route that it’s debatable he even saw in time to react correctly. Noting, the play was likely called to target Goodson directly there on second and long, or third and long. Can we spell “liability” in coverage?

Run Stopper

We won’t completely hang Goodson out to dry, this example is what he is good at.

Although we’ll add, he did read and react well here, he was unblocked and the play came to him. Don’t get me wrong, it was a great stop. But just ask all the other higher profiled drafted linebackers like Reggie Ragland (Same 2016 draft, pick 41 in the 2nd). Who also can stop the run (Overall 2019 PFF grade: 67.7), how rare are run-stopping linebackers? And for those of you that might not know, Ragland is considered a bust via the hype he had going as a  high-profile rookie linebacker.

Transaction History

When it comes to his transactions, it speaks in the volume of his overall success. When a player goes from a potential start drafted in the fourth round to being traded to just swap seventh-round picks isn’t even notable. And indicating the Giants were basically releasing him right before the 2019 season when the trade happened.

The contract he has signed with the Browns doesn’t help our IDP cause either. And just like the swapping of the seventh-round picks in the trade, it was for beans comparably to any transaction in the league. The teams are flushed with cap nowadays and trust this writer when I say this is far from sure-starter cash for a fifth-year linebacker.

IDP Free Agency

IDP Free Agency Scenario Gauged

Signed

Stable
Descending Ascending

Researching and making a call on Goodson in Cleveland was a double-sided sword. A sort of damned if you do, and damned if you don’t scenario, and guess what. I’m damned because I won’t fall in love with the signing as an IDP writer for fantasy football.

I have a quote I’ve used for a long time, it goes…

In IDP, being productive by default counts.

It simply means in a lot of cases, defensive players in fantasy football can be worth owning for their box score points. Even if their talent is lacking and based on the idea that opportunity does matter. And I tried hard to have an open mind with evaluating Goodson. But as you can see by the gauge, it just wasn’t going to happen. And if it wasn’t for the idea that he could play by default in 2020, the gauge would be descending more, to be completely honest.

The Bottom Line

Don’t fall in love with the idea that he will replace Joe Schobert in IDP production because his name is still relatively known. This is his last chance to prove anything, and by what we have covered, it’s unlikely to happen. And we shouldn’t think that the odds are good he starts excelling all of a sudden, especially as an all-purpose linebacker. Keeping in mind, even if he would start the season as a fulltime MLB, it’s likely not going to last. And that is if he just starts as a two-down run thumper too. It’s just a matter of time, in-season or afterward, he will become an afterthought.

So don’t be surprised if the Browns draft decently high in the upcoming draft at linebacker either. And remember we need to keep an eye on their second-year linebacker out of BYU, Sione Takitaki. He was selected 80th overall in 2019, in the third round. And the rumor mill was the Browns knew he was a project and one that sat behind and learned from Joe Schobert and the coaching staff last season.

Not only do I give it less than a 50/50 chance that Goodson works out as a viable IDP play in 2020, but I also give him about the same odds he’ll be on the roster when the season starts. And it’ll all boil down to just how desperate the Browns are in having a veteran depth linebacker on the team. Because if you ask this writer, his read and react in coverage doesn’t even play out as a special teams player either. And It’s just time to avoid Goodson because sooner rather than later, he won’t warrant a spot on our fantasy football rosters.

IDP Free Agency

Thank you for joining us at Gridiron Ratings.  

Gary VanDyke

“The IDP Tipster”

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